CYBER HOUR: Parallel Session 10.1: Vulnerability modeling in coastal areas (CTCN)

Introduction

The continuing deterioration of coastal ecosystems, under increasing stress from both climatic and non-climatic drivers, will have far reaching impacts not only on the global economy but also livelihood, food security and nutrition.

Coastal regions are already home to about 40 % of the world’s population, and this proportion is expected to continue to grow in the future. Around 50 % of all international tourists travel to coastal areas. In some developing countries, notably Small Island Development States, tourism accounts for over quarter of their GDP.

Moreover, more than 500 million people depend – directly or indirectly – on fisheries and aquaculture for their livelihoods. Aquatic foods provide essential nutrition for 4 billion people and at least 50% of animal protein and minerals to 400 million people in the poorest countries.

This session will lead participants through a step by step process to understand how modeling coastal vulnerability requires not just looking at the coast, but also inland. The session will provide a hands-on example of how connecting land-based drivers of vulnerability to coastal modeling can enhance climate adaptation outcomes in coastal zones.

Objectives

• Lead participants through a step by step process to understand how modeling coastal vulnerability requires not just looking at the coast, but also
  inland;
• Provide a hands-on example of how connecting land-based drivers of vulnerability to coastal modeling can enhance climate adaptation outcomes in coastal zones.

Expected outcomes

By the end of the session, participants will:

• Understand both the benefits and the risks of modeling coastal vulnerability from a coastal perspective only; and
• Learn how land-based modeling can strengthen our understanding of coastal vulnerability.

Draft agenda

• Welcoming remarks – Jaime Webbe, Regional Manager for Asia-Pacific, CTCN (10 min)
• Coastal Hazard Wheel – Fernando Casado Cañeque, Director of Centro de Alianzas para el Desarrollo, Spain (20 min)
• When the coast isn’t the cause – Yus Budiyono, Jakarta Research Council (Indonesia) (20 min)
• Modeling the mountains to understand the shore – Jaime Webbe, Regional Manager for Asia-Pacific, CTCN (30 min)
• Questions and answers (10 min)